Kazakhstan will overcome COVID-19 crisis by July, Singapore researchers say
Kazakhstan is now experiencing its coronavirus peak. According to the artificial intelligence data-driven prediction by the Singapore University of Technology and Design (SUTD), by June 2, the number of COVID-19 patients in Kazakhstan will decrease by 97 percent and by 99 percent by June 14. The spread of coronavirus infection will completely end in the country by July 28.
The research team of the SUTD published the data-driven estimation of end dates of the coronavirus epidemic in many countries, including Kazakhstan. The scientists used a mathematical SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered) model to build the forecasts. The university states that the SIR model uses data from different countries to estimate the pandemic life cycle curves and predict when the COVID-19 pandemic might end in respective countries and the world.
Kazakh Health Minister Yelzhan Birtanov previously said that despite the fact that the coronavirus epidemic will reach its peak in Kazakhstan in spring, the COVID-19 infections may last in the country during the summer months.
Meanwhile, Kazakh epidemiologists have indicated the possibility of the second surge in coronavirus cases this fall, along with the flu. Experts say that vaccination can help to avoid the second coronavirus outbreak. However, the question of when the COVID-19 vaccine will be ready remains open.